Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.183089 0.206131 0.230368 0.257706 0.287626 0.319321 0.355377
2025-04-27 0.157045 0.188938 0.224251 0.266056 0.313993 0.367036 0.429953
2025-05-04 0.134883 0.172029 0.215036 0.268091 0.331338 0.403866 0.492840
2025-05-11 0.120042 0.161264 0.210903 0.274361 0.352551 0.444931 0.561449
2025-05-18 0.108684 0.153080 0.208468 0.281551 0.374240 0.486608 0.631732
2025-05-25 0.095708 0.141210 0.199968 0.279883 0.384040 0.513389 0.684133
2025-06-01 0.085412 0.131653 0.193318 0.279557 0.394783 0.541005 0.737815
2025-06-08 0.076458 0.122923 0.186819 0.278560 0.404003 0.566399 0.788901
2025-06-15 0.071012 0.118559 0.185754 0.284483 0.422224 0.603626 0.855976
2025-06-22 0.064475 0.111903 0.180819 0.284464 0.431991 0.629613 0.908661
2025-06-29 0.058648 0.105726 0.176007 0.284094 0.440905 0.654356 0.960001
2025-07-06 0.053516 0.100123 0.171549 0.283777 0.449579 0.678707 1.011130
2025-07-13 0.049644 0.096321 0.169702 0.287410 0.464344 0.712386 1.076722
2025-07-20 0.047062 0.094414 0.170610 0.295134 0.485239 0.755165 1.155999
2025-07-27 0.043384 0.090263 0.167619 0.296593 0.496762 0.784829 1.217537
2025-08-03 0.041034 0.088219 0.167850 0.302985 0.515776 0.825624 1.295708
2025-08-10 0.039100 0.086733 0.168854 0.310552 0.536713 0.869643 1.379417
2025-08-17 0.035664 0.082102 0.164195 0.308623 0.542776 0.891825 1.431943
2025-08-24 0.032804 0.078278 0.160627 0.308205 0.551026 0.917282 1.489631
2025-08-31 0.030099 0.074479 0.156811 0.307090 0.557983 0.940808 1.544821
2025-09-07 0.028711 0.073215 0.157436 0.313482 0.577100 0.983104 1.628648
2025-09-14 0.026552 0.070114 0.154465 0.313451 0.585664 1.009340 1.688856
2025-09-21 0.024527 0.067085 0.151403 0.313045 0.593486 1.034488 1.747803